12/20/2009

Free Pick: Seattle -7

Record: 29-42, -8.50

Second pick tonight will be on the Seahawks hosting Tampa Bay.
I played Seattle several times this season, especially at home. They are at 5-8 for the season, but at home they have a 4-2 record. They lost to Arizona and Chicago and won St Louis, Jacksonville, Detroit and San Francisco. They suffer from the injury of Nate Burleson, of course, but they still have some other nice receivers behind Houshmandzadeh. Hasselbeck had a good season, too, although he was injured again.
Tampa is really bad. They have a bad offense as neither Freeman nor Johnson can do anything for the passing game both slightly over .50 in completions throwing twice as much picks as TDs. They are 6th in offensive rushing, but Cadillac William's average of 3.8 yards per rush is nothing special. It's just beacause they run more often than other teams. They are defensively 3rd against the run, but unfortunately Seattle is mainly a passing team, and their passing defense is 23rd. Their only chance would be heavy rain and strong wind in Qwest Field tonight. That won't happen, there will probably be slight rain, but that shouldn't be enough to help their defense.
I was surprised that the spread went down here, so I'll take it with 3 units at 2.04. Good Luck.
DG

Free Pick: Kansas City -2.5

Record: 29-42, -8.50

Today's free pick will be on Kansas City minus the points against Cleveland.

Kansas ist 3-10, Cleveland 2-11, so two very bad teams mess here. Browns QB Brady Quinn has improved during the season, but last week he went a disastrous 6 for 19 for 90 yards, at least not throwing a pick. Despite this performance Cleveland was able to beat the champs from Pittsburgh because of a great defensive effort including 8 sacks on Big Ben. This was their finale, putting all into that game and post a surprising win. Teams after such efforts usually get flattened the next game. I expect the same here.

Kansas City had 2 home games which they both lost. Today it's their third home game in a row and I'm sure they want to win at least this one against a beatable opponent. Last week the lost 10-16 to Buffalo which they could have easily beaten if Cassel hadn't thrown 4 INTs with no TD and if their kicking game would have done better. I expect them to play much more concentrated today and win this one easily.

I will play on Kansas City -2.5 at 1.893 with 4 units. Good Luck.

DG