Record: 28-40, -5.70
Probably the last one for tonight is on Chicago minus the points.
The Bears had high hopes before the season started by acquiring Jay Cutler. And though his numbers aren't completely bad he threw way too many interceptions (20 of them). If he can get that number down they will be in the pack next season. They are at 4-7 and could try some things to already prepare for next season. But I think they will keep playing as long as they have a mathematical chance to go to the playoffs. Especially at home I assume they will play hard. They have a balanced team. Their Offense is 15th (14th Pass, 17th Rush), the Defense is 12th (13th Pass, 19th Rush). So there's nothing were they are great, but they have no weak spots as well. They lost 4 in a row but it was against good teams like Minnesota, Philadelphia, Arizona and hard fighting San Francisco. Now they host one of the worst teams.
The Rams are 1-10. I'm cautious with teams who have no wins yet as a team doesn't want to be winless. As they got their win, that's fine for me. The Rams Defense won't stop the Bears. They look good against the pass, but that's bacause teams prefer to run the clock down with leads against the Rams. Their Offense is even worse. They have the worst passing offense in the league, and with Bulger out, Boller didn't do better. At least they are 9th in rushing offense as they have one of the best backs in Stephen Jackson. But of course, that's too easy for opponents. They played well against New Orleans and Arizona at home in the Dome, but in Chicago they will have problems with the ground. In 5 road games they scored only a combined 44 points, 17 of them in their lone win at Detroit. Their other opponents were teams that aren't known as defensive powerhouses as well.
This spread looks good to me and I will take the -9.5 at 1.96 or -104 with 3 units. Good Luck.
DG
12/06/2009
Free Pick: Arizona ML
Record: 28-40, -5.70
Another pick in the NFL will be on the Cardinals.
This pick sat in my head all week long. I can't give you much to support this one, it's more about intuition. The Vikings are at 10-1 and are still only second place in the NFC as the Saints show no signs of weakness. Maybe they try to catch them, but I believe they'll be fine with the No. 2 spot. Of course they own the best Defense in the country as well as the No 3 rushing Offense behind workhorse Peterson. But they had 3 home games in a row and now had a long trip to Arizona. Maybe they are also a bit tired of chasing New Orleans that wins steadily.
Arizona doesn't look as good as they looked last year when they went to the SuperBowl and almost won. But don't forget, their regular season was even worse than this years'. They are at 7-4 and look like a safe bet to win the division. But the 49ers are only 2 games back and Arizona still has to go to SF, and as they lost to them at home already, it is a precarious situation for them. I'm sure they want to keep the lead at two games or make it 3 before heading to San Francisco. It will be all about their Defense, because the Offense will score some points. Even if Minnesota is No. 1 in Total Defense, this potent Offense will score with Kurt Warner, the great targets he has, and two nice backs behind him.
As said, this is a pick that is mainly build on intuition (all of my picks include intuition, but this one with much bigger weight). I will give them a shot at the Money Line at 2.6 with 2 units. Good Luck.
DG
Another pick in the NFL will be on the Cardinals.
This pick sat in my head all week long. I can't give you much to support this one, it's more about intuition. The Vikings are at 10-1 and are still only second place in the NFC as the Saints show no signs of weakness. Maybe they try to catch them, but I believe they'll be fine with the No. 2 spot. Of course they own the best Defense in the country as well as the No 3 rushing Offense behind workhorse Peterson. But they had 3 home games in a row and now had a long trip to Arizona. Maybe they are also a bit tired of chasing New Orleans that wins steadily.
Arizona doesn't look as good as they looked last year when they went to the SuperBowl and almost won. But don't forget, their regular season was even worse than this years'. They are at 7-4 and look like a safe bet to win the division. But the 49ers are only 2 games back and Arizona still has to go to SF, and as they lost to them at home already, it is a precarious situation for them. I'm sure they want to keep the lead at two games or make it 3 before heading to San Francisco. It will be all about their Defense, because the Offense will score some points. Even if Minnesota is No. 1 in Total Defense, this potent Offense will score with Kurt Warner, the great targets he has, and two nice backs behind him.
As said, this is a pick that is mainly build on intuition (all of my picks include intuition, but this one with much bigger weight). I will give them a shot at the Money Line at 2.6 with 2 units. Good Luck.
DG
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