10/17/2009

Free Pick: Illinois-3

Record: 25-34, +1.24


Hi there, today's free pick will be on the Fighting Illini playing against the Indiana Hoosiers.

Illinois faced high expectations before the season returning a lot of talent around QB Juice Williams. They couldn't hold on to it, and now stand at 1-4. They are also 0-3 in the Big10 but look at their opponents: Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan State, by far the three best Big10 teams from last year.

Today they face a much lesser opponent in Indiana. The Hoosiers started 3-0 in an easy non conference schedule, but since then they have gone 0-3 and are 0-2 in the Big10. They lost against good Ohio State and below average Michigan. Last week the got crushed by Virginia 7-47.

So as we know Illinois is much better than where they stand now, Indiana first has to show it has improved from last year when they had a desaster season. I will go with the experienced crew that has really been tested so far. I will play the spread of -3 at 1.96 or -104 with 2 units. Good Luck

DG

10/11/2009

Free Pick: Seattle-1

Record: 24-34, -0.86

My free pick for today is a play on Seattle. I know I recommended them two times this season, but I'm not a Seahawks fan (I like the Eagles).

Today Seattle will badly need to win, all week long they talked about that game that could turn the season around and get back on track. They seem to be very focused on that one. And, Hasselbeck should be back from his injury. Although Seneca Wallace replaced him well, many Seattle players prefer Hasselbeck because he's also an emotional leader. Seattle lost 3 straight, but with Hasselbeck back and here at home where they are usually especially strong, they are my team today.

Jacksonville won both of its last two and is at 2-2 now. But the long trip to Seattle is another heavy point for my analysis. You may be surprised that the Jaguars are much better passing than rushing this year, and it may be dangerous as the Seahawks are good against the rush but bad against the pass.

Nevertheless I think they should take the lead early and then strengthen their secondary. I'm sure Seattle will find the right balance to stop the Jacksonville offense.

I will give them a shot at the spread of -1 at 2.05 or +105 with 2 units. Good Luck.

DG