7/25/2009

Play on Atlanta Braves (2.17, +117)

Record: 0-2, -4.00, (no chance yesterday)

Today I will go for Atalanta visiting Milwaukee hoping for my first winner here.
Milwaukee lost 4 of its last 5, mainly because of bad pitching. Atlanta, on the other hand, is 7-2 since the break and back in the division title race, even if they are still some games back, but they are in second place behind the Phillies whose streak seems to have come to an end.

Even though I lost with young Happ yesterday, I'll go with the youngster again tonight. Hanson (5-0, 3.00) had some nice starts this year, but his start against the Brewers was bad giving up 7 Runs (6ERs) in 6 Innings, but a closer look reveals that in those six Innings he gave up 6 hits and a walk which is very good if there weren't 3 homers. I don't expect him to shut down this potent Brewers Offense, but the Braves should put some more runs on the board against Gallardo (8-7, 3.28). Gallardo is an ace but lately he put up some bad numbers, especially in his last three starts. He pitched great so far against Atlanta, and he allows few hits, but he still walks too many batters.

So, I'll go with the dog here who is in much better form and the pitcher who is in better form. I play Atlanta with 2 units here. Good Luck.

7/24/2009

Play on Philadelphia Phillies (1.735, -136)

Record: 0-1 (-2,00), bad luck yesterday with the Twins giving up a 2-run lead in the 9th).

Today I recommend a play on the Phillies who send Happ (7-0, 2.68) to the mound against the Cards who go with Pineiro (8-9, 3.09). Despite his good ERA Pineiro has a losing record. On the other side we have JA Happ, and the young lefty is perfect at 7-0. I won't go against him until he posts some worse performances even though his numbers at home are a bit worse, but Citizens Bank Park is one of the best hitter parks, so don't mind taking him here.

The Phillies as a team won 15 of their last 17, so they are really hot while St Louis is 4-6 during their last 10. The biggest edge for me is Philly playing at home. They played their last four here while the Cards could be a bit tired (and not very concentrated) as they traveled from Houston to Washington for a game and now they have to go on to Philadelphia. That's a lot of traveling for two days.

So again, we have two good pitchers, but Philly is hot and much more rested today which leads me to pick the Champs here.
I'll play them with 2 units. Good Luck (not as yesterday).

7/23/2009

Play on Minnesota Twins (2.37, +237)

Today we have a nice matchup with the Twins visiting the Angels. First, let`s face the situation here.
The Twins played in Oakland yesterday while the Halos where in Kansas, so althouogh LA has the home game, they still had the longer way. They also had a very emotional win yesterday trailing 2-6 after the 6th Inning. So, this could be a typical letdown situation for them. On the other hand we have the Twins, and they lost yesterday against a usually average A's team in an embarrassing 16-1 blowout. Believe me, they will be very focused today.

If we look at the pitching duel, we see Scott Baker(8-7, 5.10) opposing Jered Weaver(10-3, 3.48). If we compare their numbers in the brackets, we see a clear advantage for LA. And even the H2H numbers look better for Weaver, but Baker had 2 bad starts lately, but should be back on track after holding a potent Texas Offense to one run in 8 Innings. I believe he could earn his first win in his 7th start against the Halos. Weaver on the other hand started great into the season, but in his last six starts he allowed 27 ERs in just 33.1 Innings. Amazingly to me, he still has this good ERA of 3.48 and, even more amazing: In those six start he still got 3 wins and only 1 loss, mostly because of great run support by his Offense.

So to me these factors fit very well. Again in short, we have a focused Twins Team after an embarrasing loss against an Angels Team that won late yesterday in a great comeback win and could be in a letdown situation. And, we have a good pitching Scott Baker who has come back on track against Weaver who is due to a loss after pitching bad lately which few noticed, because he still gained wins and his numbers are still good.

So, I´ll play 2 units on the Twins with odds of 2.37 (+137). Good Luck.

7/22/2009

Let's start winning!

Hi, first of all I would like to introduce myself.



I'm a successful sports bettor and I want to give you here some of my picks, of course for free. I will post my picks as soon as possible, but I don't know if it will be every day or once a week. For sure, this will vary from time to time. At the moment we have the MLB season with up to 15 games each day. So it should be possible to post a pick every second day. Be aware that sometimes I will use betting systems, but if I do so, I will let you know soon enough.



I will also give you the "balance" at the beginning of each post, which means I will count up the money I've won or lost.



That's it so far. Now I Will go through my baseball pages and look for some good picks for this blog and, respectively for you. Stay cool...