10/25/2009

Free Pick: Tampa Bay +14.5

Record: 26-37, -1.26

Free Pick today will be a play on Tampa Bay plus the points.
I cannot give you much reasoning as the Patroits blew away the Titans last week 59-0. They are the much better team with the more talented players. But I do believe, Tampa covers the spread, because since they started Josh Johnson at QB their offense should be better. His numbers are pretty similar to Leftwich's, but he can run the ball which gives the Bucs another dimension on offense.

The Patroits have some problems as Brady and Moss both have shoulder problems. They are probable, so they will definitely play but it could affect them. This high spread is mainly due to New England's performance from last week, they shouldn't be able to repeat that.
This is a game played in London and a road game for both. As Tampa lost everything, New England's only 2 road games so far have both been losses. So don't expect them to win by more than 2 TDs.

We get a perfect spread of 14.5 which means we'll win if New England still wins by two TDs. I will play them on the spread of +14.5 at 1.94 or -106 with 2 units. Good Luck.
DG