Play on Washington+19.5

Record: 16-23, +1.87


Today's play will be on Washington plus the points against USC.

Washington won last week, so they have one more win than at the end of last season. After this desastrous 0-12 season they seem well improved this year. Their defense is nice but they mostly profit from junior QB Jake Locker who is a very good passer(5TDs vs 1 INT) and a great runner. He ran for 51 vs LSU and 18 vs Idaho where he didn't need to run a lot as it was a pretty easy win for the Huskies. After covering easily against highly favored LSU in a 23-31 loss, they won against Idaho by 42-23. It was their first win after 15 losses, so they should have lost this heavy load. Today they are big underdogs again, but still at home as in the first two games. Nice chance to show up again.

USC have won both games so far. They blew away San Diego State 56-3 but trailed 0-3 after the first quarter. Second game was a huge win against Ohio State which was an important win for their hopes of an National Title game. They were very lucky, however, scoring the winning TD with 1:05 left in the fourth. They didn't cover that one, but they don't care. Freshman QB Barkley who got the starting job did well in that last drive, but overall he put up only average numbers with 1 TD and 1 INT in those two games.

Some nice aspects made me play that game: wen see Washington having played at home all the time while USC had to travel far last week and now goes on to play its second road game in a row. Their last game was a very big one and they won so this could be a letdown spot for them. Then we saw them playing a highly emotional game last week that strengthens the letdown spot. And we have a revenge situation here as Washington was badly blown out and held scoreless last year at USC.

Very nice facts for a cover by the home team. I'll play them by the spread of +19.5 at 1.98 or -102 with 3 units. Good Luck.

DG