Play on Toronto RL

Record: 13-21, -3.85


First game tonight will be on Toronto visiting the Yankees. Toronto lost 20 of 28 during August and the beginning of September, but since then they have gone a nice 6-5. In their last five they averaged almost 5 runs which is pretty nice and should be more than enough today. New York is at top of the league and they will very probably have the best record heading into postseason giving them home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They had a nice run winning 12 of 14, but they split their last four. Looks like it's time to sit back and peak when playoffs start. There's no value in winning 110 games and then lose in the first round.

Of course they still need some wins to secure first place, but today they face Roy Halladay(14-9, 3.03) who shuts them down frequently. He is 17-6 against them with a 2.83 ERA and also pitched seven complete games against them(5 in his last 9). His ERA went up a bit in his last ten starts, but don't forget the teams he pitched during those 10: Yankees twice, Red Sox twice and Tampa Bay even three times, all of them with potent offenses. He even had 4 complete games in that span. Don't expect too many Yankees runs. His opponent will be Sergio Mitre(3-2, 7.02) who has a winning record despite this ERA. The reasons are: the Yankees offense that gives him a lot of run support, and the fact that he sometimes pitches well, but the he sucks the next game. One of the teams he really doesn't like is Toronto. On September 6th he played the and allowed 11 runs (9 earned) on 11 hits and 2 walks in just 4.1 innings. He played 3 of hs nine games this season against Toronto and the other two were better(how could they be worse!), but still far from good. And for the run support: the Yankees averaged 8.11 runs in Mitre's starts, that's why he is still 3-2. But no question: New York can't do that to Halladay.

With all those facts I believe Toronto will win by more than only one run, not only because of Mitre but the Yankee defense creates some errors at times, too. They usually egalize this by great hitting, but not today. Toronto on the run line at 2.56 or +156 with 2 units is the choice. Good Luck.

DG