9/14/2009

Play on LA Dodgers RL

Record: 12-20, -2.67


Toaday's first play will be on the Dodgers who host the Pirates.

Pittsburgh will go with Daniel McCutchen(0-1, 4.85) opposing Dodger Jon Garland(9-11, 4.23) who came over from Arizona. Garland has had two starts with LA so far which both were well, ironically both were against his former team. For the Dodgers he is 1-0, 3.46 in those two games. Playing here in this big park should improve his numbers. His numbers against Pittsburgh are below average but he's had only 2 games (1 start) against them. McCutchen started his MLB career two weeks ago and had two average outings against Cincinnati and the Cubs.

Tonight, however, McCutchen has to play one of the best offenses in the NL, and LA has been tested lately against San Francisco who own one of the best pitching staffs in the league. They should have no problems to score some runs against the rookie. Plus, LA should be motivated here. They played contending San Francisco over the weekend which could point to a letdown situation, but actually it shouldn't be one as they lost yesterday and in this series against the Pirates they could make a big step towards the division title or the playoffs respectively as their biggest rivals Rockies and Giants play each other the next few days. So this is a big chance for them to get away from them. Pittsburgh's season is over as they will have a losing season and their only goal is to avoid the 100 losses mark. I wrote they will collect some road wins in their last few games, but now it seems they are just looking for some home wins to not lose 100 in the end. They will have some shots at home with remaining series against the Padres and the Reds. They also got a rare road win yesterday, so two in a row seems improbable with their road record of 19-52.

All that makes me play the much better team here in a good situation to win by two or more. I will play the run line at 1.91 or -109 with 2 units. Good Luck.

DG

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