Play on Green Bay -4.5

Record: 11-19, -3.52 (one pending)


Second pick for tonight will be on Green Bay minus the points. In my opinion the Packers are the favorites to win the division since Minnesota signed Brett Favre.

Chicago struggled on Defense last year as it ranked only 21st and even 30th against the pass. However they didn't do much in offseason to improve on it. They did try to improve their Offense by acquiring QB Jay Cutler who is a very good one, for sure. Behind him we have a very potent RB in Matt Forte. But that's it. If you have a great passer you need good Receivers, too. The Bears have got nice Receivers, but not great ones. And if a new QB comes over he needs some time with the team to fully integrate into the Offense.

Green Bay's Defense wasn't good last year as well, but they upgraded some positions and stole Defensive Coordinator Capers from New England. This should be a good mix to improve on that side of the field. On the Offense they have a very good QB in Aaron Rodgers who played well last year and should be even better if RB Ryan Grant gets back to his level from 2 years ago. Remember, Green Bay was 6-10 last year, but they were competitive in all games as they lost 7 games by 4 or less points.

With that said I'm sure Green Bay will win its home opener by more than X points, so I will play the spread of -4.5 on them at 1.95 or -105 with 3 units. Good Luck.

DG