9/14/2009

Play on Texas RL

Record: 12-20, -2.67


Second one for tonight will be on the Rangers hosting Oakland. This pick is even stronger than the first one so the stake will be a unit higher.

We see Texas going with Scott Feldman(16-4, 3.46) who's played a big season so far. His ERA at home is 1.1 higher than his overall ERA but that shouldn't be a problem as Rangers ballpark is one of the best hitters parks in the league. Feldman is also in great form as he won his last four games allowing only a run in more than 26 innings of work. He should be very motivated to keep this run going as he still has a shot to achieve the most wins among all MLB pitchers. He's also very good against Oakland at 3-2 and a 3.73 ERA. The Texas team played a great season as well and will be very motivated here, too. They do need wins, especially at home against bad teams like Oakland, because despite this great season they are trailing the Angels by six and the Red Sox by 4(wild card spot). We have a similar situation as with the Dodgers game as they have a weak opponent in the A's while LA play the Yankees tonight and then goes on for the series at Boston, so Texas can cut down their leads if they win 2 of the 3 at the very least against Oakland. They also have two series against the Angels later this month so chances are good for them.

Oakland sends Brett Tomko(4-3, 4.47) who came from the Yankees some weeks ago and started five games for the A's. His performance for the A's was pretty well with a 3.90 ERA. But this will be the first time he plays in a hitter park and if you look at his career stats against the Rangers you see him going 1-3 with a 7.94 ERA. So if you worry about Feldman's home ERA(of 4.56), look at Tomko's numbers in Rangers ballpark where he allows more than a run per inning. The A's have nothing to play for at 64-78 with ten wins behind third place Seattle. Teams that have nothing to play for don't win much on the road. Sometimes they play good at home in front of their fans, but they don't care much about road games.

Look for Texas to win this one big and take the 1.93 or -107 on the run line with 3 units. Good Luck.

DG

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