Record: 2-8, -10.82
First pick today will be on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cubs won the first two games of the series and send Rich Harden(7-7, 4.30) today. He will have to mess with Ross Ohlendorf(10-8, 4.30). Both pitchers did well in their last few games. Both are also 1-0 in head to head situation and both prefer night games. We see Ohlendorf pitching a run better at home and Harden two runs better on the road. The Cubs bullpen seems to feel comfortable and the Pirates pen got a little rest yesterday when Zach Duke went more than seven innings. So the pitching matchup is pretty even.
The crazy odds come from the Pirates latest slump when they lost their last four with a combined 4-38 runs. But they were competitive when they got good pitching which they should get by Ohlendorf. Their cruel 18-43 road record is not going to last for the season. Look for them to get a bit better on the road and a bit worse at home, hopefully starting tonight.
So the Cubs are faves for sure but I'll put 2 units on these crazy 3.45 or +245 on the Pirates.
Good Luck
8/16/2009
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