8/17/2009

Play on Atlanta RL and Texas RL

record: 2-8, -10.82

Game yesterday postponed. Today we have two nice bets. First one will be on Atlanta that sends Tommy Hanson(7-2, 3.05) who did very well this season. In 12 starts he allowed more than 2 runs only four times and didn't reach the 6th inning three times at 5, 5.1 and 5.2 innings, so this is a solid performance for the rookie. Also in his last three he got better from game to game which doesn't give us hints that he could have any kind of problems right now.
The D'backs will go with Max Scherzer(7-6, 3.94) who has nice numbers over the whole season but in his last three starts he has an ERA of 6.18 and a WHIP of 1.69. He could be a bit out of form although his last outing against the Mets was a good one. This season he could hold the Braves scoreless in six innings in Atlanta but was crushed at home with 8 ERs in 3.2 innings.
Atlanta was 1-2 in the series against the Phillies which means they are 4.5 games behind them now, but they are still close to the Wild Card spot so they have to get back on track today. Prior to the Phillies series they were on a 7-1 run and now facing a much worse team than yesterday they should be able to do so. The D'backs played well last week posting some nice wins against the Dodgers and Mets but they didn't score too many runs and are still far away from playoff chances. They also come a long way from Phoenix to Atlanta for only a game postponed on May 17th to go on to Philadelphia tomorrow.
I don't believe Arizona will be competitive here so the Braves who need the win more are my choice on the run line at 2.37 or +137. I will play it with 2 units.

Second pick is on the Texas Rangers who host the Twins. On the mound we will see Tommy Hunter(5-2, 2.26) opposing Francisco Liriano(5-11, 5.39). I really like Liriano as a pitcher, but although he had a good game last week and a nice one a few weeks ago here in Texas he still isn't good over the season as he is too inconsistent and allows a bit too many walks. As said he was good in his last start but it was against a bad Royals team and today it will be much more difficult for him. Ranger Hunter had a bad year in 08 when he had 20 ERs in just 11 innings but this year he is great so far allowing more than 2 ERs only twice with 3 and 4. His WHIP of 1.13 tells the same story. He's a bit better on the road but doesn't matter as Rangers ballpark is not easy for pitchers.
We also see Texas in good form as they are 7-3 in their last 10 and have the Wild Card spot for the moment thanks to winning their last two against Boston. Minnesota on the other hand lost both home series against two of the three worst AL Teams Kansas City and Cleveland and now they have to go to one of the top AL Teams. Not a good sign for them. They also come a long way to Texas and while they played at 70 degrees F yesterday, today they have to play in up to 20 degrees warmer weather which isn't a good thing for them too as the Rangers played here yesterday and could rest waiting for them and are used to play with these temperatures.
All good signs to post a big win so I'll take them on the run line too at 2.57 or +157 with 4 units as this is an especially strong play for me.
Good Luck

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