8/15/2009

Play on SF/NYM under7 and NYY/Sea over9.5

Record: 2-6, -6.82

Today we see the second game of the Giants/Mets series. Yesterday the Mets won 3-0 and that’s about the result I expect tonight too.
First we have two great pitchers on the mound as Johan Santana(13-8, 3.00) faces Matt Cain(12-4, 2.44). When you look at the last few starts of these two pitchers you might argue that Cain had two bad starts lately, but don’t forget on the one hand he averaged 8 innings during his last three and on the other hand the 9 ERs he allowed in his last two starts look worse than they are as he allowed 15 hits and 2 walks in 15 innings which is actually better than his WHIP over the season. And, on the road he is almost as sharp as in home games. For Santana it is almost the same story. In what seemed to be a bad start vs St Louis with five ERs, he allowed 9 hits and no walk in 8 innings, which is again better than his season WHIP. And at home he is almost a run better than on the road. So we have two starters who should do a fine job. Also, Thursday both teams had a day rest while yesterday both bullpens didn’t have too much work.
Second we have two offenses that aren’t able to hit. The Mets still have lots of injury trouble although they averaged 4 runs over their last five which is ok, but not great. The Giants win and lose with their pitching staff anyway. Their offense doesn’t play a big role as it is usually enough to win if they score 4 runs. However in their last five they averaged less than two runs which is really bad.
So we have two bad offenses facing two great pitchers. I don’t believe we see a lot of runs tonight. I play on the under 7 at 1.96 or -104 with 2 units.

Second matchup will be the Yankees facing the Mariners. Seattle sends rookie Luke French(2-2, 4.31) opposing Yankee Sergio Mitre(1-1, 7.04). French has pretty good overall numbers for a rookie, but those numbers got worse, especially since he is a Mariner. He allows way too many walks. And you know he faces a potent Yankee offense that averaged 6 runs over its last five games. French played against the Yankees when he was a Tiger and he was very good then, but don’t think he can do this again. And the Yankees offenses prefers hitting lefties.
Mitre, who starts for NY played for Florida till 07, but as a Yankee in 09 he is really bad. His ERA of more than seven matches with a WHIP of 1.91. He also averages only less than five innings and never reached the six inning mark this season, and never allowed less than 3 ERs. Even the lately bad Seattle offense should get him in trouble tonight. In their last four games the Mariners scored a combined five runs but look who the faced: Pettitte, Sabathia, Buehrle and Danks which are all at least good pitchers. Now they go down in competition against a bad Mitre.
Should be a high scoring affair tonight and I take the over 9.5 at 2.07 with 2 units.
Good Luck

Keine Kommentare:

Kommentar veröffentlichen