9/26/2009

Play on Troy ML

Record: 19-26, +0.31


Today's play will be on Troy on the money line. Troy is the much better team for sure. Arkansas State won its first game by 61-0 against bad Missouri Valley and were blown out themselves by Nebraska. They could contend for the Sun Belt title, but they have to win this game. This won't be easy, of course, as Troy won the last three titles. They had to replace some starters, especially on Defense, but they did a good job recruiting very good players as they always do. This defense should be very tough again, especially against the run. The running game is Arkansas State's best piece, but I don't think they can compete with the Troyan's D. Troy lost its first game which was bad for them. In week two they were blown out but expected nothing else against the National Champs Florida. Last week then they got their game going behind QB Levi Brown who was a major upgrade to the team. He passed for more than 400 yards. With the Conference opener ahead they will bring in their peak performance. They beat ASU the last two years by a combined score of 62-9.

No question Troy should win this one even if ASU had an extra week to prepare. I'll play them at 2.20 or +120 with 1 unit. Good Luck.

DG

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