9/22/2009

Play on Colorado RL

Record: 18-23, +2.87


Today I recommend a play on Colorado on the run line hosting the San Diego Padres.
Colorado goes with Jorge De La Rosa(15-9, 4.17) opposing San Diego's Edward Mujica(3-4, 3.36) whose ERA looks better than De La Rosa's, but remember Dan Diego plays its games in the best pitcher park in the league while Colorado has the best hitter park. Mujica also isn't used to start games, he's only had two so far this season. Prior to that he came from the bullpen. In those two starts he dedn't reach the 5 inning mark though he pitched well but again both were in PETCO Park. De La Rosa is 7-2 in his last 10 and in his last four he never allowed more than one run. He walks too many but on the other hand he doesn't allow hits. He's winless against San Diego but that should change tonight as eleven days ago he played them and allowed only a run thrugh seven innings but didn't get the win because his teammates began to score later.
San Diego played well of late, but their last two series were against cupcakes Arizona and Pittsburgh. I can't believe they will even win this one. Colorado had a bad stretch in series at San Diego and San Francisco but came back recently winning 3 of their last 4. Of course they have to defend their Wild Card spot and if they want to keep it they have to win such matchups where the better team send the much better pitcher.
Looks like a big win by more than a run, so I will play on Colorado RL at 1.98 or -102 with 2 units. Good Luck.
DG

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