8/10/2009

Play on Seattle (2.15, +115), Boston (1.94, -106) and San Francisco (2.07, +107)

Record: 0-3, -6.00 units



After a break on holidays I'm back to post some winners now. First will be on Seattle that hosts the White Sox. Looks like a win for Chicago as they send Gavin Floyd (9-6, 3.91) against new Mariner Luke French (2-2, 3.93) who came over from Detroit.

But if you look deeper into the game, you see French probably motivated because he makes his home debut tonight and his 3.93 ERA is still good. You can also see Floyd playing very good lately, but against Seattle he is 1-2 with a 7.15 ERA. And, Seattle could wait at home for the White Sox coming the long way from Chicago. Nice underdog bet here, I put 2 units on this one at 2.15 or +115.



Next one will be on Boston against Detroit. Boston lost its last 6 while the Tigers won 4 of their last five. But those losses of Boston came on a road trip and they played the Yankees while Detroit was at home against an average Twins Team. The pitching matchup favors the Tigers with Edwin Jackson (8-5, 2.62) who pitches great on a consitent basis but doesn't get much run support (only 3.7 over his last 10 starts). He opposes Brad Penny(7-6, 5.20) who was bad lately although his last start in Tampa wasn't so bad as the numbers suggest. In head to head both pitchers aren't good.

I will go on the Sox here despite the pitching matchup, because they are finally at home now, and they have to make up for the losses against their rivals, and they need to win to keep at least the wild card spot for now, and they step down in competition from a great Yankees team right now, and Detroit steps down from an average Twins team. So I will put again 2 units on them at 1.94 or -106.



Third and last one tonight will be on the Giants hosting the Dodgers. SF has been a bit better lately than the Dodgers. And they need to win as the Rockies are very close now. LA goes with Hiroki Kuroda (4-5, 4.44) opposing Giant Jonathan Sanchez (5-9, 4.49). Kuroda has been fine lately going six Innings in all of his last 3 starts allowing 2, 2 and 3 ERs. But he is still winless against San Francisco in 4 starts. Sanchez on the other side is also winless against the Dodgers in five starts but his numbers improved over his last two starts so he could have a good day. Also Sanchez is much better at home where his number radically improve to 4-1 along with a 3.26 ERA. Enough for me to put 3 units on a more focused Giant team at 2.07 or +107.



Good Luck.

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