10/02/2009

Play on San Diego

Record: 22-29, -1.14


First pick for tonight will be on San Diego hosting the San Francisco Giants. Probably there will be a second pick tonight.

San Diego sends Kevin Correia(12-10, 3.89) who will play against his former teammates. He has ahd a nice season so far, especially in his last few starts. In September he was able to drop his ERA from 4.50 to 3.89 and his last two games were great going 7 scoreless innings last week and posting a 6-hitter in his last outing. He also plays here in the best pitcher park against one of the lesser hitting teams of the Giants. Against them he is 3-1 with a 3.50 ERA. He will be opposed to Barry Zito(10-13, 4.10) who played a nice season but his form goes the other way than Correia's as he's risen his ERA to over 4 again. His last two games show that decline as he went 4.1 and 4 innings allowing 4 and 3 ERs. He is also below average against San Diego at 3-6 with a 4.32 ERA.

One of the main reasons for the pick is San Diego finishing strong. They went 17-9 during September behind good pitching but they also hit well mostly. Here in PETCO Park they even have a winning record at 41-37. San Francisco on the other hand blew their postseason chances in September going 13-14. They are the best home team in the NL at 52-29, but on the road they are nothing special. The Padres also had a day of rest yesterday.

Looks like good odds for San Diego at 1.80 or -125 so I will put 3 units on them. Good Luck.

DG

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