Play on Cle/Bos over 9.5

Record: 22-28, +0.86


Today's play will be on the over between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Indians. The line is at 9.5 at the moment.

The Red Sox go with Jon Lester(14-8, 3.52) who played another great season. He has won a lot of games lately, but his form seems to go downwards now. In his last two games he allowed 3 homers and first he went six innings with 3 ERs on 10 hits, last weekend he went only 2.1 innings with 5 ERs on 8 hits and 3 walks. He is 2-0 in 5 starts against Cleveland but his ERA of 4.76 isn't good at all. Cleveland sends rookie Carlos Carrasco(0-3, 9.00) who lost 3 of his 4 starts while his team lost all four. He never allowed less than 4 ERs and only once went more than 5 innings. Not a guy you should count on.

The Indians have come back lately going 4-2 in their last 6 and they averaged 4.8 runs during their last 5 games although they were scoreless in the second game yesterday. I think they should score some runs as Boston's bullpen has had a lot of work lately. Boston with its great 52-25 home record should score tonight, too. They need their offense going shortly before playoffs against the Angels start. They lost 6 straight being swept by the Yankees and here at home against Toronto. They should also show their fans something as they lost 0-12 yesterday. They should be able to do so as they played a much better pitcher in Halladay yesterday.

I expect a high scoring affair putting 2 units on the over 9.5 at 2.00 or +100. Good Luck.

DG