9/08/2009

Play on St. Louis and Phi/Was Under9

Record: 8-16, -4.78

Today I recommend a play on St. Louis. They play their second game at Milwaukee after they won 3-0 yesterday with their ace Chris Carpenter. They will send John Smoltz(3-6, 6.63) to the hill with his great 2.65 ERA since he is a Cardinal what he is for just two games so far. For Boston he was bad this season with 2-5 and 8.32 ERA but this is another league now. For pitchers it is much easier to play in the NL because the AL is the superior league and there is the DH which isn't the case here. He opposes Manny Parra(10-10, 6.47) who is on a 6-2 run but that mostly came from great run support. In that stretch he allowed 5, 4, 3, 6, 3, 5, 6 and 2 runs and only once made more than six innings. In his last outing he got the win against that same Cardinals team and Smoltz. But don't worry, Smoltz didn't really pitch bad. He allowed 4 ERs, but that came on only 6 hits and no walk in 6 innings, so this was a bit of bad luck. 3 of those 4 runs came in the 6th so today his coach should know when to take him off the field. Parra had 2 ERs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 6.1 innings which isn't really better than Smoltz' performance. Parra's WHIP of 1.84 speaks for itself. Even if Smoltz will last only 5 or 6 innings St Louis still has a rested bullpen as Carpenter pitched a complete game yesterday.
Of course we also see one of the top teams in the league against a team that had high hopes in midseason but blew away its playoff chances during the last few weeks. I expect St Louis to keep on winning and a frustrated Brewer crew that probably already gave up its postseason dreams.
I play on St Louis at 1.82 or -121 with 2 units.

Second play is the under at the Philadelphia/ Washington matchup. Here we have Philly Pedro Martinez(3-0, 3.52) who is back on track since he is in Philadelphia. After he needed his first two or three games he seems to be fully back now and even those games weren't bad as the Phillies won all of his 5 starts. He's also 5-3, 2.74 against Washington in his career. For the Nationals we see John Lannan(8-10, 4.09) who wasn't good lately but I believe this game against the World Champions he will be motivated to show his abilities as the season for the Nationals has long been over. Of course his career stats vs the Phillies aren't good at 0-5 and a 5.89 ERA, but that mostly came on games in hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. At home he is 5-1, 2.62 for the season and this is why I think he will be good tonight. Another addition is that the game will be played in pitcher friendly National Stadium.
The Phillies have a strong offense but look at their scoring lately: they haven't scored more than 4 runs since August 24. I don't believe that they explode tonight in a pitcher park against one of Washington's best pitchers, especially at home.
I play the under 9 at 1.87 or -115 with 1 unit.
Good Luck

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