7/24/2009

Play on Philadelphia Phillies (1.735, -136)

Record: 0-1 (-2,00), bad luck yesterday with the Twins giving up a 2-run lead in the 9th).

Today I recommend a play on the Phillies who send Happ (7-0, 2.68) to the mound against the Cards who go with Pineiro (8-9, 3.09). Despite his good ERA Pineiro has a losing record. On the other side we have JA Happ, and the young lefty is perfect at 7-0. I won't go against him until he posts some worse performances even though his numbers at home are a bit worse, but Citizens Bank Park is one of the best hitter parks, so don't mind taking him here.

The Phillies as a team won 15 of their last 17, so they are really hot while St Louis is 4-6 during their last 10. The biggest edge for me is Philly playing at home. They played their last four here while the Cards could be a bit tired (and not very concentrated) as they traveled from Houston to Washington for a game and now they have to go on to Philadelphia. That's a lot of traveling for two days.

So again, we have two good pitchers, but Philly is hot and much more rested today which leads me to pick the Champs here.
I'll play them with 2 units. Good Luck (not as yesterday).

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